Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Braden Shick		Ozan Baris

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.9	Watch
	1.64	2.20
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.09)	2.01 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braden Shick
53.5%

Ozan Baris
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braden Shick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braden Shick's performance.

Ozan Baris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ozan Baris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braden Shick than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braden Shick that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ozan Baris than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ozan Baris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Braden Shick - Ozan Baris Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shick will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Baris will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shick: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shick is ranked ATP: 202., and Baris is ranked ATP: 416..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Baris may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braden Shick
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Braden Shick - Patrick Maloney	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Braden Shick - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Braden Shick - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Braden Shick - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLW
- Ozan Baris
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Ozan Baris - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Ozan Baris - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ozan Baris - Shunsuke Mitsui	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Ozan Baris - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ozan Baris - Lorenzo Claverie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLW

Braden Shick - Ozan Baris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide