Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Braden Shick

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.35
	1.58	2.32
	1.57	2.47
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.40
	1.58	2.31	Watch
	1.55	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.65)	2.35 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
60%

Braden Shick
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Braden Shick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braden Shick than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Braden Shick Predictions

Users Predictions: Shintaro Mochizuki will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 117. Shick is ranked ATP: 215.

Mochizuki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shick is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.23%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW
- Braden Shick
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Braden Shick - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Mark Lajal - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Braden Shick - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	August Holmgren - Braden Shick	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Braden Shick - Renta Tokuda	Shick B. Walkover
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWW?

Shintaro Mochizuki - Braden Shick: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide