Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Acapulco 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	15:00	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	01:00	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	06:00	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	05:00	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	05:00	TV2 Play
Finland	06:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	05:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	05:00	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	05:00	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	04:00	Sport TV6
Romania	06:00	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	05:00	TV4 Play
Ukraine	06:00	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	04:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Valentin Vacherot		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	2.06	1.85
	2.06	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.03	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
46.8%

Brandon Nakashima
53.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brandon Nakashima will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 27. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 29.

Vacherot is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nakashima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vacherot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vacherot won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.79%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.09.18	Brandon Nakashima - Valentin Vacherot	2:0

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