Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.42	3.12
	1.36	3.20	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)	2.98 ↓ (3.22)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
68%

Ethan Quinn
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Brandon Nakashima - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Quinn will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 2 - 50%). Quinn (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Nakashima (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Quinn (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Quinn (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Quinn (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Quinn is ranked ATP: 86.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nakashima is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakashima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 70.46%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
03.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Reilly Opelka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Ethan Quinn - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Ethan Quinn - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Ethan Quinn	3:0 ✺
30.06.25	Ethan Quinn - Henry Searle	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
22.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ethan Quinn	2:0

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