Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Brandon Nakashima		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.40
	1.58	2.38	Watch
	1.61	2.54
	1.6	2.41	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.59	2.40	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.91)	2.41 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
60.4%

Francisco Cerundolo
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	0%	4.3%

Brandon Nakashima - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brandon Nakashima will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 27.

Nakashima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nakashima could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP London
19.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Brandon Nakashima - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Brandon Nakashima	3:1 ✺
28.05.26	Luca Van Assche - Brandon Nakashima	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP London
19.06.26	Arthur Fery - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Jenson Brooksby - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
15.06.26	Alexander Blockx - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Zachary Svajda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.09.20	Brandon Nakashima - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2

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