Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Luca Van Assche		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.41
	3.15	1.45
	2.97	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.07	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.85)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
32%

Brandon Nakashima
68%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Luca Van Assche - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Nakashima will win (votes: 15 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 100. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 35.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nakashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 66.4%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Luca Van Assche - Patrick Kypson	Canceled ✺
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Max Schoenhaus - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Luca Van Assche - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Luca Van Assche - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 ?LLL?
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Brandon Nakashima - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Lyon
23.10.26	Luca Van Assche - Lorenzo Musetti	✺
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Lyon
23.10.26	Flavio Cobolli - Brandon Nakashima	✺

Luca Van Assche - Brandon Nakashima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide