Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Matteo Berrettini		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.20	1.65
	2.23	1.66
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.64
	2.29	1.65	Watch
	2.23	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	1.65 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
42.5%

Brandon Nakashima
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Matteo Berrettini - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 46., and Nakashima is ranked ATP: 18..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Nakashima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Nakashima is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Berrettini has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.07%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
03.10.26	Matteo Berrettini - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Matteo Berrettini - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
22.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
16.01.22	Brandon Nakashima - Matteo Berrettini	1:3

Matteo Berrettini - Brandon Nakashima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide