Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.4
	1.34	3.66
	1.34	3.24	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.35	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	3.41 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
71.9%

Brandon Nakashima
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felix Aliassime-Auger's performance.

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Aliassime-Auger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	0%	4.5%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 6. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 35.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aliassime-Auger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.84%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Roman Andres Burruchaga	3:1 ✺
26.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniel Altmaier	3:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Luca Van Assche - Brandon Nakashima	2:3 ✺
25.05.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Brandon Nakashima - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Florence
14.10.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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