Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Bu Yunchaokete		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.31	1.67
	2.41	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.33	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.01)	1.57 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
40.3%

Francesco Passaro
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bu Yunchaokete's form might have worsened.

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bu Yunchaokete, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Bu Yunchaokete - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Passaro will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Passaro (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Passaro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 73. Passaro is ranked ATP: 101.

In recent matches, Yunchaokete has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Passaro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yunchaokete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Passaro will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Borna Gojo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLL?
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLWW

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