Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	3.25	1.35	Watch
	3.35	1.36
	3.14	1.35	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.24	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.49)	1.36 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
30.1%

Luciano Darderi
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bu Yunchaokete's form might have worsened.

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bu Yunchaokete, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Bu Yunchaokete - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Darderi (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 73. Darderi is ranked ATP: 46.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Yunchaokete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Darderi is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Borna Gojo	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 L?LWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Ignacio Buse - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
24.04.25	Quentin Halys - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 L?WLW

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