Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.51	2.72
	1.49	2.69	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.71	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.84)	2.72 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
65%

Hugo Gaston
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bu Yunchaokete's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bu Yunchaokete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Bu Yunchaokete - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunchaokete: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 124. Gaston is ranked ATP: 77.

Two players are in a poor body shape now.

Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yunchaokete will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yunchaokete won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.13%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Cezar Cretu - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Casper Ruud - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0 ✺
22.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?LLLW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Hugo Gaston - Christopher Eubanks	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Jaume Munar - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
27.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Diaz Acosta F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
09.01.24	Hugo Gaston - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0

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