Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Jaume Munar		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.74
	1.48	2.73	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.83)	2.72 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaume Munar
65%

Hugo Gaston
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaume Munar's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaume Munar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Jaume Munar - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Munar will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Munar: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Munar is ranked ATP: 62. Gaston is ranked ATP: 77.

Munar in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gaston has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Munar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Munar will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Munar to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Munar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaume Munar
ATP Challenger
22.09.24	Jaume Munar - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Jaume Munar - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Jaume Munar - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Jaume Munar - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Jaume Munar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Beijing
23.09.24	Hugo Gaston - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Hugo Gaston - Christopher Eubanks	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Jaume Munar - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Jaume Munar - Hugo Gaston	2:0
ATP Australian Open
21.01.20	Hugo Gaston - Jaume Munar	1:3

Jaume Munar - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide