Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Rio Noguchi		Keegan Rice

	1	2
	1.55	2.30
	1.56	2.38
	1.58	2.47
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.40
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.52)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
59.9%

Keegan Rice
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Keegan Rice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Rice than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Rio Noguchi - Keegan Rice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 216. Rice is ranked ATP: 900.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Noguchi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.08%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Braden Shick	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWL
- Keegan Rice
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Keegan Rice	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Keegan Rice - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Sasha Rozin - Keegan Rice	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.26	Keegan Rice - Kenta Miyoshi	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Keegan Rice - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLW

Rio Noguchi - Keegan Rice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide