Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		Braden Shick

	1	2
	1.72	2.00
	1.68	2.12
	1.76	2.10
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.74	2.05
	1.67	2.05	Watch
	1.68	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	2.07 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
55%

Braden Shick
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Braden Shick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braden Shick than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braden Shick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Rio Noguchi - Braden Shick Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Shick will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 222. Shick is ranked ATP: 232.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Braden Shick - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL
- Braden Shick
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Timo Legout - Braden Shick	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Braden Shick	Shick B. Walkover ✺
03.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Braden Shick - Dhakshineswar Suresh	Suresh D. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LW?W?

Rio Noguchi - Braden Shick: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide