Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Cameron Norrie		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.33	3.40	Watch
	1.36	3.10
	1.37	3.05	Watch
	1.39	3.26
	1.39	3.01	Watch
	1.38	3.20
	1.37	3.10	Watch
	1.34	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	3.15 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
69.8%

Bernard Tomic
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Cameron Norrie - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tomic will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrie: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cameron Norrie will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 39. Tomic is ranked ATP: 171.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Tomic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Norrie is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Los Cabos
30.07.26	Cameron Norrie - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Cameron Norrie - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
18.07.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Cameron Norrie	2:3 ✺
17.07.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Cameron Norrie	3:0 ✺
16.07.26	Cameron Norrie - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Tristan Boyer - Bernard Tomic	Boyer T. Walkover ✺
25.07.26	Miguel Tobon - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Tristan Boyer	Tomic B. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WW?W?

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