Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Miguel Tobon		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.36
	3.20	1.33	Watch
	3.27	1.38
	3.12	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.36	Watch
	3.09	1.32	Watch
	2.90	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.63)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
30.3%

Bernard Tomic
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Miguel Tobon - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 473. Tomic is ranked ATP: 170.

Recent form of Tobon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tomic is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tomic might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Tomic will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.78%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Tiago Pereira - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Miguel Tobon - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Yanaki Milev - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Tristan Boyer	Tomic B. Retired ✺
19.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Spencer Johnson	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Matthew Forbes - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	James McCabe - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 ?WWWW

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