Match Info

Date: 2 November 2026, Monday ⏱️ In 2d 7h 📅 Remind Me


	Cameron Norrie		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.62	2.3
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.62	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	2.31 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
59%

Matteo Arnaldi
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cameron Norrie - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 41., and Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 36..

Norrie has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Arnaldi has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arnaldi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Norrie holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Norrie has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Cameron Norrie - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Cameron Norrie - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
27.10.26	Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Lyon
20.10.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Cameron Norrie - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Cameron Norrie - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLL?
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Vienna
26.10.26	Luciano Darderi - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Lyon
19.10.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Bernard Tomic - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
02.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
02.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Cameron Norrie	3:0

Cameron Norrie - Matteo Arnaldi