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Current Win Probability
Cameron Norrie 47.3%
Denis Shapovalov 52.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
56.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Cameron Norrie - Denis Shapovalov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Norrie is ranked ATP: 40., and Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 42..
Recent results have been tough for Norrie (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Shapovalov have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Shapovalov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Norrie has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Denis Shapovalov - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.84%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.