Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.37	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.88
	1.43	2.77
			Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.37	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)	2.72 ↓ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
65.7%

Otto Virtanen
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 60. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 130.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ugo Carabelli is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Daniel Elahi Galan	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWL?L
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Otto Virtanen - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWL

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide