Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.34
	1.63	2.23	Watch
			Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.86)	2.26 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
58.7%

Luca Nardi
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Nardi will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Ugo Carabelli (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 60. Nardi is ranked ATP: 95.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ugo Carabelli could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.96%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Daniel Elahi Galan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWL?
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide