Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PRAGUE (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday


	Sebastian Ofner		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.52	2.6
	1.49	2.49	Watch
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	2.44 ↓ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
61.6%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Sebastian Ofner - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ofner will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
01.05.23	Sebastian Ofner - Yaroslav Demin	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Elias Ymer - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.04.23	Zsombor Piros - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Sebastian Ofner - Andrea Vavassori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Jelle Sels - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
18.04.23	Alex Michelsen - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
13.04.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Mateus Alves - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Filip Misolic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLW?

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