Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday


	Maximilian Marterer		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.27	1.63
	2.36	1.61
			Watch
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Marterer
41.1%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Marterer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximilian Marterer's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximilian Marterer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Maximilian Marterer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Marterer will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marterer is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marterer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Marterer
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Marco Trungelliti - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Maximilian Marterer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Maximilian Marterer - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Sebastian Ofner - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
02.05.23	Jelle Sels - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
18.04.23	Alex Michelsen - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
13.04.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Mateus Alves - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

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