Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTOFAGASTA (CHILE), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.4
	1.57	2.51
	1.5	2.5
	1.44	2.67	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.41)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
62.4%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ugo Carabelli will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Tomas Farjat - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Facundo Bagnis	Bagnis F. retired ✺
18.09.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Zormann	2:0 ✺
08.08.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?WLWL

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide