Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTOFAGASTA (CHILE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.58	2.42
	1.49	2.49	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)	2.39 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
60.8%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ugo Carabelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerundolo will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Cerundolo to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	Cerundolo J. M. retired ✺
15.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
14.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
12.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W?WWW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Tomas Farjat - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.10.22	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1
01.10.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Cerundolo J. M. retired
20.08.21	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1
ITF Tournaments
19.02.20	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0

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