Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	1.07	9	Watch
	1.06	7.75	Watch
	1.09	7.83
	1.08	8.97	Watch
	1.08	7.5
	1.09	8.35	Watch
	1.07	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.3)	8.27 ↑ (5.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
88.5%

Karen Khachanov
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos Alcaraz Garfia's performance.

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karen Khachanov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 17.

Alcaraz Garfia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Khachanov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Khachanov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.2:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
01.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	3:1 ✺
29.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Marton Fucsovics - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Jaume Munar - Karen Khachanov	Canceled ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.26	Karen Khachanov - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Karen Khachanov - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
13.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Madrid
03.05.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Hamburg
22.07.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.22	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3

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