Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	6	1.13	Watch
	6	1.12	Watch
	6.82	1.13
	6.19	1.12	Watch
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	6.8	1.12	Watch
	6.33	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.23 ↑ (4.32)	1.12 ↓ (1.22)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
15.2%

Karen Khachanov
84.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

78%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Khachanov (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 117. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 17.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Khachanov is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mochizuki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Doha
15.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ghanim Al-Sulaiti	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Sebastian Ofner	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Stefano Travaglia - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LW?LL
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Jaume Munar - Karen Khachanov	Canceled ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.26	Karen Khachanov - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Karen Khachanov - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Karen Khachanov - Luciano Darderi	1:3 ✺
21.01.26	Karen Khachanov - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov	2:3

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