Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Palermo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Palermo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Carlos Sanchez Jover		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	2	1.7
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carlos Sanchez Jover
45.6%

Lorenzo Giustino
54.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Sanchez Jover, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Carlos Sanchez Jover - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sanchez Jover will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Giustino will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 335., and Giustino is ranked ATP: 216..

In recent outings, Sanchez Jover has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Giustino shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Sanchez Jover could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.97%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Michael Geerts - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Christian Langmo - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Matthew Donald	Giustino L. Retired ✺
29.09.26	Lorenzo Giustino - John Sperle	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?WLW

Carlos Sanchez Jover - Lorenzo Giustino