Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Carlos Taberner		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.23
	1.65	2.19	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.2	3.87	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)	2.41 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Taberner
60.4%

Vilius Gaubas
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Taberner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Taberner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Carlos Taberner - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: Vilius Gaubas will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Taberner is ranked ATP: 174. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 185.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Taberner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Taberner won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Taberner
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Luka Pavlovic - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Marco Cecchinato - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Andrea Picchione - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Filip Misolic - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
28.02.25	Vilius Gaubas - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Vilius Gaubas - Mees Rottgering	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Vilius Gaubas - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Lucas Poullain - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Vilius Gaubas - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Carlos Taberner	2:1

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