Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin (World), hard (indoor)

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Pala Alpitour (Turin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Hungary	Net4+


	Casper Ruud		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.34	1.58	Watch
	2.35	1.65
	2.3	1.68	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.63	Watch
	2.34	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.9)	1.6 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
40.7%

Andrey Rublev
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casper Ruud's form might have worsened.

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrey Rublev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casper Ruud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Rublev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.1%	0%	37.9%

Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Rublev will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 7. Rublev is ranked ATP: 9.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruud won 2.

Ruud is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rublev is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ruud won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.24	Alexander Zverev - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
11.11.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Metz
06.11.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Casper Ruud - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLLL
- Andrey Rublev
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
11.11.24	Alexander Zverev - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
07.11.24	Andrey Rublev - Corentin Moutet	Moutet C. walkover
05.11.24	Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
23.07.23	Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP World Tour Finals
19.11.22	Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev	2:0
19.11.21	Andrey Rublev - Casper Ruud	1:2
ATP Monte Carlo
17.04.21	Andrey Rublev - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP Australian Open
14.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. retired
ATP Hamburg
26.09.20	Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev	0:2
Exhibition Thiems Seven Men
09.07.20	Andrey Rublev - Casper Ruud	2:1

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