Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.14	5.6	Watch
	1.17	5.84
	1.14	5.70	Watch
	1.13	6	Watch
	1.15	5.82	Watch
	1.13	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.13)	5.78 ↑ (5.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
83.5%

Andrey Rublev
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rublev will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Rublev (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Rublev (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Rublev is ranked ATP: 14.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4.

Alcaraz Garfia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rublev is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
01.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	3:1 ✺
29.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Jesper De Jong - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Andrey Rublev	3:0 ✺
20.01.26	Jaime Faria - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
15.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Madrid
01.05.24	Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0
Exhibition World Tennis Championship
17.12.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	0:2

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