Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Benjamin Bonzi		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.87
	1.93	1.85	Watch
	2	1.9
	1.99	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.92	Watch
	1.93	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.23)	1.88 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
49.4%

Casper Ruud
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Bonzi's performance.

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	0%	22.9%

Benjamin Bonzi - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Ruud will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 63.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 124. Ruud is ranked ATP: 7.

Bonzi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ruud is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bonzi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Metz
05.11.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Manuel Guinard - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.10.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Casper Ruud - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
ATP Stockholm
18.10.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

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