Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Fabian Marozsan		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.4	3.15
	1.36	3.15	Watch
	1.38	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)	3.13 ↑ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
69.5%

Luca Nardi
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: Fabian Marozsan will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabian Marozsan will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 52. Nardi is ranked ATP: 88.

Marozsan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nardi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marozsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marozsan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marozsan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Sebastian Ofner - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Luca Nardi - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Luca Nardi	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi	3:0
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.24	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	1:2

Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide