Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Helsinki 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Edas Butvilas		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.71	Watch
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	2.15	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.56)	1.69 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
45%

Luca Nardi
55%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edas Butvilas's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edas Butvilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Edas Butvilas - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Butvilas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Nardi will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Butvilas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 267. Nardi is ranked ATP: 81.

Butvilas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nardi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nardi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Henri Squire - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Otso Martikainen - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Jaime Faria - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Arthur Bonnaud - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
13.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Sebastian Ofner - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Luca Nardi - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

Edas Butvilas - Luca Nardi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Edas Butvilas - Luca Nardi Predictions

Preview

Form

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