Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - Final

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday


	Mert Alkaya		Carl Emil Overbeck

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.80
	1.72	2.00
	1.95	1.86
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.92
	1.85	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.71)	1.88 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
50.4%

Carl Emil Overbeck
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Mert Alkaya - Carl Emil Overbeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 332. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 437.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
27.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Ivan Dreycopp	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Matisse Bobichon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL
- Carl Emil Overbeck
ITF Tournaments
27.06.26	Tiago Torres - Carl Emil Overbeck	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Rodrigo Fernandes	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Thijs Boogaard - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches