Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Francisco Rocha		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
	3.50	1.24
	3.35	1.28
	3.57	1.3
	3.6	1.24	Watch
	4.3	1.23
	3.73	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.35)	1.25 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Rocha
25.4%

Mert Alkaya
74.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Francisco Rocha - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 860. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 332.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alkaya is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Francisco Rocha - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.65%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Mert Alkaya - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 72.35%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Rocha
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Francisco Rocha	Coulibaly E. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Goncalo Marques - Francisco Rocha	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Dominique Rolland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 ?WWLW
- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Ivan Dreycopp	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Matisse Bobichon	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
07.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Mert Alkaya - Yu Hsiou Hsu	✺

Francisco Rocha - Mert Alkaya