Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Christian Garin		Chun Hsin Tseng

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.58	2.42
	1.54	2.43	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.51	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.43)	2.37 ↓ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
60.5%

Chun Hsin Tseng
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Chun Hsin Tseng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christian Garin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chun Hsin Tseng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Christian Garin - Chun Hsin Tseng Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Garin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tseng (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 158. Tseng is ranked ATP: 103.

Two players are playing changeable.

Garin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Garin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Christian Garin - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Houston
02.04.25	Tommy Paul - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Christian Garin - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.03.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Petr Nesterov - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW
- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Munich
14.04.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
01.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Christian Garin - Chun Hsin Tseng: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide