Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Francisco Comesana		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.62	2.42
			Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.4)	2.35 ↓ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
59.5%

Marco Trungelliti
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisco Comesana's form might have worsened.

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Trungelliti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisco Comesana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Francisco Comesana - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Comesana will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Comesana (votes: 1 - 50%). Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Comesana is ranked ATP: 74. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 147.

Comesana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Trungelliti is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Comesana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Comesana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Trungelliti will win today's game, with odds of 2.54.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comesana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Corentin Moutet	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Francisco Comesana	Canceled ✺
24.06.25	Jenson Brooksby - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Francisco Comesana	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 L?LLL
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Gstaad
13.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Marco Trungelliti - Francisco Comesana	0:2
13.08.23	Francisco Comesana - Marco Trungelliti	0:2
15.08.22	Francisco Comesana - Marco Trungelliti	0:2

Francisco Comesana - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide