Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Lukas Neumayer		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.36
			Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
58.5%

Daniel Rincon
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lukas Neumayer - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lukas Neumayer will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 170. Rincon is ranked ATP: 216.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Rincon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Neumayer could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Lukas Neumayer - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Jurij Rodionov - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Lukas Neumayer - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Jerome Kym	Neumayer L. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWL?
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Nerman Fatic	Canceled ✺
10.06.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Daniel Rincon	Rincon D. retired ✺
05.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Luca Nardi - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 W??LW

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