Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Marino 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Daniel Rincon		Justin Engel

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Daniel Rincon
58.7%

Justin Engel
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Justin Engel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Engel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Rincon is ranked ATP: 203. Engel is ranked ATP: 219.

Rincon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Engel is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rincon could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Lukas Neumayer - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW
- Justin Engel
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.25	Learner Tien - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
15.06.25	Justin Engel - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Roman Safiullin - Justin Engel	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.25	Justin Engel - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWL

Daniel Rincon - Justin Engel