Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Christoph Negritu		Eliakim Coulibaly

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.7	Watch
	2.04	1.8
	2.03	1.71	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.86)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
47%

Eliakim Coulibaly
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Christoph Negritu - Eliakim Coulibaly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 320. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 284.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Negritu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Christoph Negritu - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tiago Torres - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Leo Raquillet	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Kenny De Schepper - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.09.22	Eliakim Coulibaly - Christoph Negritu	2:0

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