Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Christoph Negritu		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.91	1.41
	3.95	1.22	Watch
			Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.73)	1.38 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
32%

Jaime Faria
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Christoph Negritu - Jaime Faria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 308. Faria is ranked ATP: 118.

Negritu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Faria has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Faria might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tiago Torres - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Alex Barrena - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLL
- Jaime Faria
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?LLWL

Christoph Negritu - Jaime Faria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide