Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday


	Hugo Gaston		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.37	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.84
	1.30	3.23	Watch
	1.4	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)	2.96 ↓ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
68.4%

Christoph Negritu
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Hugo Gaston - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: Hugo Gaston will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 125. Negritu is ranked ATP: 274.

Gaston has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Negritu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gaston is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Alex Barrena - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Alexander Ritschard - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Stefan Popovic - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Maximilian Marterer - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

Hugo Gaston - Christoph Negritu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide