Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.42	2.65
	1.41	2.96
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.77 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
66.3%

Christoph Negritu
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 170. Negritu is ranked ATP: 274.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Merida Aguilar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Antoine Escoffier - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
25.08.25	Alex Barrena - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Alexander Ritschard - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Stefan Popovic - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Maximilian Marterer - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
05.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.10.24	Christoph Negritu - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1

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