Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Hugo Gaston		Eliakim Coulibaly

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.35	2.9
	1.44	2.92
	1.38	2.95	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	2.92 ↓ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
67.9%

Eliakim Coulibaly
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Hugo Gaston - Eliakim Coulibaly Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hugo Gaston will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 128. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 289.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Coulibaly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gaston is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Enzo Couacaud	Couacaud E. retired ✺
08.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ?WLLL
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Leo Raquillet	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Kenny De Schepper - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL

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