Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Christoph Negritu		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.46
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	2.4 ↓ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
61.2%

Ilya Ivashka
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Christoph Negritu - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: Christoph Negritu will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 424. Ivashka is ranked ATP: 698.

Negritu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ivashka is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Negritu might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Nicolas Barrientos	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Ivan Gakhov - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Eneko Rios Perez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Radu Albot	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Felix Balshaw	Canceled ✺
02.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ilya Ivashka - Manas Manoj Dhamne	Ivashka I. retired ✺
23.02.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 W?W?W

Christoph Negritu - Ilya Ivashka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide