Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Christoph Negritu		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.61	2.29
	3.48	1.28	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.49)	2.03 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
49.6%

Michele Ribecai
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christoph Negritu's form might have worsened.

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michele Ribecai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christoph Negritu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michele Ribecai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Christoph Negritu - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Ribecai (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ribecai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 318. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 537.

Negritu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ribecai is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Negritu might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Leonardo Mazzucchelli	2:0
10.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL
- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Michael Vrbensky - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Gabriele Piraino - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Michele Ribecai - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Giannicola Misasi - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

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