Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monastir, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Luka Mikrut		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.29	3.29	Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	3.11 ↑ (2.82)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Mikrut
70%

Christoph Negritu
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mikrut is ranked ATP: 160. Negritu is ranked ATP: 305.

Mikrut is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Negritu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mikrut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mikrut is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mikrut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Jan Choinski - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Robin Bertrand - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Leonardo Mazzucchelli	2:0
10.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu	2:1
03.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Luka Mikrut	2:1

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