Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Michael Vrbensky		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.61	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.42	Watch
	2.3	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.44)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Vrbensky
35.5%

Michele Ribecai
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Michael Vrbensky - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 712. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 537.

Vrbensky has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ribecai is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ribecai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ribecai is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Ribecai will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Michael Vrbensky - Tadeas Paroulek	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Michael Vrbensky - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Jakub Nicod - Michael Vrbensky	Nicod J. retired ✺
07.09.25	David Pichler - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWL?W
- Michele Ribecai
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Gabriele Piraino - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Michele Ribecai - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Giannicola Misasi - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Tim Handel - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW

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