Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Temuco, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.5
	1.31	3.56
	1.20	4.18	Watch
	1.23	3.74	Watch
	1.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.5)	3.75 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
75%

Christoph Negritu
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Manuel Cerundolo's performance.

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christoph Negritu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 85. Negritu is ranked ATP: 300.

In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Negritu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cerundolo is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.04%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Christoph Negritu - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.96%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Cerundolo J. M. retired ✺
25.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Gustavo Heide - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Sebastian Gima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?LWW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Christoph Negritu - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Christoph Negritu - Nicolas Barrientos	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Christoph Negritu - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

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