Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Christoph Negritu		Ryan Nijboer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.7
	2.39	1.54	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.62)	2.29 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
56.5%

Ryan Nijboer
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Christoph Negritu - Ryan Nijboer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 318. Nijboer is ranked ATP: 434.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nijboer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Negritu could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Christoph Negritu - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.81%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Ryan Nijboer - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Christoph Negritu - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Christoph Negritu - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tiago Torres - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWL
- Ryan Nijboer
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Ryan Nijboer - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Ryan Nijboer - Leonid Sheyngezikht	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Ryan Nijboer - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Ryan Nijboer - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Ryan Nijboer - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

Christoph Negritu - Ryan Nijboer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide